'India Real Estate Update - Q3 2020' | Four of the top eight markets witness stable or positive rent growth | Knight Frank India
- Chennai office transactions report the recovery of 0.07 mn sqm in Q3 2020; Rentals increase by 0.5% YoY: Knight Frank India
- Office transactions across prime cities surge by 80% Q-o-Q; new office completion recovers by 126% in Q3 2020: Knight Frank IndiaF
- Four of the top eight markets witness stable or positive rent growth
Mumbai, 8th October 2020:Knight Frank India, leading international property consultancy, today launched its quarterly report - India Real Estate Update - Q3 2020 - which presents an analysis of the residential and office market performance across top eight cities[1] for the July-September 2020 (Q3 2020) period. In comparison with Q2 2020, the report observed gross office leasing across these cities witnessed a strong recovery, registering 80% growth to 0.44 mn sqm in Q3 2020.Whereas new office completions during the same period, reported recovery of126% to 0.33 mn sqm, compared to Q2 2020.
As Q2 2020 was marred by lockdown, the report cited the need to evaluate commercial market recovery compared to pre-COVID levels. Thus, besides looking at a single period, i.e. Quarter on Quarter analysis, Knight Frank Indiaestablished a comparative matrix of Q3 2020 recovery against the quarterly average number of transactions in the year 2019.
The total office transactions of the eight markets in Q3 2020 have improved and reached 33% of the 2019 quarterly average level. Chennai, National Capital Region (NCR), and Mumbai recorded higher recovery in Q3 2020 with transactions reaching the level of 57%, 43%, and 42% respectively of the quarterly average of the year 2019. New completions also improved to 29% of the 2019 quarterly average. In terms of new completions in Q3 2020, Ahmedabad was the only market to report higher new office completions, 125% of quarterly average levels of the year 2019.
In
terms of rental values, the recovery in office transactions and new completions
helped rental values remain stablein Bengaluru (4%) followed by Hyderabad (2%),
Chennai (0.5%), and Pune with 0% Year-on-Year growth(YoY).
TABLE I:
TRANSACTIONS (IN MN SQ M)
|
Market |
2019 quarterly average |
Q1 2020 |
Q2 2020 |
Q3 2020 |
Q3 2020 as % of 2019 Quarter average |
|
Kolkata |
0.03 |
0.04 |
- |
0.02 |
62% |
|
Chennai |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.01 |
0.07 |
57% |
|
NCR |
0.20 |
0.19 |
0.00 |
0.09 |
43% |
|
Mumbai |
0.23 |
0.23 |
0.12 |
0.10 |
42% |
|
Bengaluru |
0.35 |
0.39 |
0.05 |
0.11 |
30% |
|
Ahmedabad |
0.04 |
0.05 |
- |
0.01 |
15% |
|
Hyderabad |
0.30 |
0.20 |
- |
0.04 |
14% |
|
Pune |
0.14 |
0.13 |
0.06 |
0.01 |
10% |
|
Total |
1.33 |
1.35 |
0.24 |
0.44 |
33 |
Source: Knight Frank Research
According to Shishir
Baijal, Chairman and Managing Director, Knight Frank India, “The commercial office asset class performance for
the third quarter have been encouraging especially when benchmarked against
quarterly average of 2019 as office transactions were at a historic high in that
year. At the beginning of the pandemic in India, businesses were compelled to
move to work from home as a business continuity process method.The uncertain business
environment that followed the initial lockdown, further caused occupiers to
assess their office space strategies leading many to postpone their office
expansion plans till Q2 2020. However, with the unlocking in progress, going
forward as India edges back economic recovery, the office market dynamics are also
expected to improve. The recent success of REITs can be understood as an
indicator of long – term confidence of investors for office space.”
Rajani Sinha, Chief Economist
& National Director – Research, Knight Frank India said, “While work
from home as a concept has proved to be an effective business continuity
measure; we expect occupiers to look at office space usage more strategically.
This will lead to further innovation in effective to include aspects like
social – distancing, health benefits, sustainability as well as preparedness
for future contingencies. We expect the momentum of the transaction to
accelerate in the near future.”
TABLE
II: NEW COMPLETIONS (IN MN SQ M)
|
Market |
2019 quarterly average |
Q1 2020 |
Q2 2020 |
Q3 2020 |
Q3 2020 as % of 2019 Quarter average |
|
Ahmedabad |
0.11 |
0.24 |
- |
0.14 |
125% |
|
Bengaluru |
0.37 |
0.37 |
- |
0.10 |
27% |
|
NCR |
0.29 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.06 |
20% |
|
Mumbai |
0.18 |
0.24 |
0.10 |
0.03 |
15% |
|
Chennai |
0.04 |
0.30 |
- |
0.01 |
15% |
|
Pune |
0.10 |
0.02 |
- |
- |
0% |
|
Hyderabad |
0.25 |
0.25 |
- |
- |
0% |
|
Kolkata |
0.14 |
0.01 |
- |
- |
0% |
|
Total |
1.13 |
1.46 |
0.15 |
0.33 |
29% |
Source: Knight Frank Research
TABLE
III: AVERAGE YOY RENT GROWTH ACROSS MARKETS DURING Q3 2020
|
Market |
Rent Growth YoY |
|
Bengaluru |
4% |
|
Hyderabad |
2% |
|
Chennai |
0.5% |
|
Pune |
0% |
|
Mumbai |
-1% |
|
Ahmedabad |
-5% |
|
NCR |
-5% |
|
Kolkata |
-6% |
Source: knight Frank Research
Source: Knight Frank Research
According to Shishir Baijal, Chairman and Managing Director, Knight Frank India, “The commercial office asset class performance for the third quarter have been encouraging especially when benchmarked against quarterly average of 2019 as office transactions were at a historic high in that year. At the beginning of the pandemic in India, businesses were compelled to move to work from home as a business continuity process method.The uncertain business environment that followed the initial lockdown, further caused occupiers to assess their office space strategies leading many to postpone their office expansion plans till Q2 2020. However, with the unlocking in progress, going forward as India edges back economic recovery, the office market dynamics are also expected to improve. The recent success of REITs can be understood as an indicator of long – term confidence of investors for office space.”
Rajani Sinha, Chief Economist & National Director – Research, Knight Frank India said, “While work from home as a concept has proved to be an effective business continuity measure; we expect occupiers to look at office space usage more strategically. This will lead to further innovation in effective to include aspects like social – distancing, health benefits, sustainability as well as preparedness for future contingencies. We expect the momentum of the transaction to accelerate in the near future.”
TABLE
II: NEW COMPLETIONS (IN MN SQ M)
|
Market |
2019 quarterly average |
Q1 2020 |
Q2 2020 |
Q3 2020 |
Q3 2020 as % of 2019 Quarter average |
|
Ahmedabad |
0.11 |
0.24 |
- |
0.14 |
125% |
|
Bengaluru |
0.37 |
0.37 |
- |
0.10 |
27% |
|
NCR |
0.29 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.06 |
20% |
|
Mumbai |
0.18 |
0.24 |
0.10 |
0.03 |
15% |
|
Chennai |
0.04 |
0.30 |
- |
0.01 |
15% |
|
Pune |
0.10 |
0.02 |
- |
- |
0% |
|
Hyderabad |
0.25 |
0.25 |
- |
- |
0% |
|
Kolkata |
0.14 |
0.01 |
- |
- |
0% |
|
Total |
1.13 |
1.46 |
0.15 |
0.33 |
29% |
Source: Knight Frank Research
TABLE
III: AVERAGE YOY RENT GROWTH ACROSS MARKETS DURING Q3 2020
|
Market |
Rent Growth YoY |
|
Bengaluru |
4% |
|
Hyderabad |
2% |
|
Chennai |
0.5% |
|
Pune |
0% |
|
Mumbai |
-1% |
|
Ahmedabad |
-5% |
|
NCR |
-5% |
|
Kolkata |
-6% |
Source: knight Frank Research
KEY HIGHLIGHTS OF OFFICE MARKET SUMMARY Q3 2020
- 1) Chennai,
Kolkata, NCR and Mumbai recorded relatively better recovery in transactions in
Q3 2020 compared to the other markets.
- 2) While in Q3
2020, transactions in Bengaluru reached 30% of 2019 quarterly average level,
the market still experienced the highest transaction at 1.1 mn sq ft and rent
growth at 4% YoY.
- 3) Ahmedabad was
the only market to see office completions exceeding transactions during Q3
2020, causing rents to fall by a substantial 5% YoY.
About Knight Frank
Knight Frank LLP is a leading independent, global
property consultancy. Headquartered in London, Knight Frank has more than 19,000 people
operating from over 512 offices across 60 markets. The Group advises
clients ranging from individual owners and buyers to major developers,
investors and corporate tenants. For further information about the Company, please
visit www.knightfrank.com.
Knight Frank India is headquartered in Mumbai and
has more than 1,400 experts across Bangalore, Delhi, Pune, Hyderabad, Chennai,
Kolkata and Ahmedabad. Backed by strong research and analytics, our experts offer a
comprehensive range of real estate services across advisory, valuation and
consulting, transactions (residential, commercial, retail, hospitality, land
& capitals), facilities management and project management. For more
information, visit www.knightfrank.co.in
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