TVK Emerges as Third Major Political Force in Tamil Nadu for Assembly Elections 2026: Parawheel Survey

Chennai: Parawheel, a tech-driven political intelligence and election forecasting firm powered by KK Surveys & Strategies Pvt Ltd, has released preliminary findings from its large-scale booth-level opinion survey conducted across all 234 Assembly constituencies in Tamil Nadu. Based on responses from over 70 lakh voters surveyed so far, the study projects the DMK with a 41.5% vote share, followed by the AIADMK at 36.2%, while TVK is emerging as the third major political force with an estimated 13.6% vote share.

Kiran Kondetti, CEO of Parawheel

According to Parawheel, the survey is based on extensive voter behaviour analysis and field research, with a minimum sample size of about 30,000 respondents in each constituency. The current projections also place NTK at 7.9% vote share in the evolving electoral landscape.

Addressing the media, Kiran Kondetti, CEO of Parawheel, said the research focuses on voter sentiment across key regions including Chennai, Coimbatore, the Delta districts, and parts of southern, northern, and western Tamil Nadu. The study also examines caste alliances, governance perception, anti-incumbency trends, and the influence of first-time and women voters. A key component of the analysis looks at the “TVK–Vijay factor,” studying how fan bases may translate into votes, youth mobilisation, and its possible impact on the vote share of major parties.

Parawheel also announced its “One Candidate – One War Room” initiative, aimed at extending campaign data support to individual candidates across all 234 constituencies. Under this model, candidates will receive real-time voter insights, booth-level analytics, and strategic campaign guidance. The firm said it can also provide a database of at least 5,000 neutral voters in each constituency to help candidates identify swing voter segments and plan targeted outreach.

The organisation further stated that it stands by the accuracy of its research. If projections or data provided to candidates vary by more than 1%, Parawheel will refund the full amount paid for the data, underscoring its commitment to transparency and scientific methodology in political research.

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